Friday, May 16, 2014

The Black-Scholes Model

In this lesson, we learned about the Black-Scholes model and how it related to the binomial model that we have been using in previous lessons.

The Black-Scholes model has four main assumptions:

  1. A continuously compounding interest rate, r.
  2. Geometric Brownian motion dynamic for stock prices, so that:
where W(t) is a standard Brownian motion.


     3.  The stock pays a dividend yield of c.
     4.  Continuous trading with no transaction costs and short-selling allowed.

Here are some sample paths of Geometric Brownian Motion:











sdf


The Black-Scholes formula for pricing European call options with strike price K and maturity at time T is:



where d(1) and d(2) are as follows:






and N(d)  P(N(0,1) ≤ d). 

Note that mu (the drift of the Brownian motion) does not appear in the formula, just as p and (1-p) do not appear in the binomial model.

Once we have the call option price C(0), we can calculate the put option price P(0) from the put-call parity:




We can show that under the Black-Scholes model uses a similar replicating strategy to the one we used for the binomial model:







We can convert the Black-Scholes parameters of r and sigma into binomial parameters.
The Black-Scholes parameters:
  1. r, the continuously compounding interest rate
  2. sigma, the annualized volatility of the stock
can be converted into binomial model parameters:






and we can redefine the risk-neutral probabilities as:





The Black-Scholes model is actually used in industry to quote option prices and the binomial model is often used as an approximation to the Black-Scholes model.


The binomial model also converges to the Black-Scholes model as the number of time periods goes to infinity.  A longer proof was included in the lesson that I have omitted here for brevity. 























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